Widzew Łódźvs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gornik Zabrze · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widzew Łódź 1-1 Gornik Zabrze
Original prediction
Gornik Zabrze
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 30.2% | 20.1% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.8% | 23.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 42.0% | 56.1% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Gornik Zabrze
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Gornik Zabrze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80