Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mendrisio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Widnau 1-1 Mendrisio
Original prediction
Mendrisio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Mendrisio
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Mendrisio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WidnauLWWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MendrisioDDWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WidnauMendrisio
0.0Attack47.8
0.0Defence54.4
0.0Form52.2
7.0Power53.3
1.24xG1.61