GGOALVIO

Morocco · Botola Pro · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Widad Témara 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3737.9%35.6%-2.3 pts
Draw2.6833.5%30.2%-3.3 pts
Away3.1428.6%34.2%5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.2%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Widad TémaraLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kawkab MarrakechWWLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Widad TémaraKawkab Marrakech
33.3Attack55.6
66.7Defence55.6
33.3Form66.7
45.5Power62.6
1.09xG1.12
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