Wick Academyvs
Formartine United
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Highland League · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Formartine United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wick Academy 2-1 Formartine United
Original prediction
Formartine United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.93 | 11.3% | 5.7% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.15 | 17.5% | 10.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 1.26 | 71.2% | 83.9% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–313%
- 2.0–411%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Formartine United
Probability
83.9%
Model confidence
83.9%
Formartine United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00