Whyteleafevs
Burgess Hill Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgess Hill Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Whyteleafe 2-3 Burgess Hill Town
Original prediction
Burgess Hill Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.5% | 20.3% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.6% | 19.8% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 59.9% | 19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Burgess Hill Town
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Burgess Hill Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60