Whitehawkvs
Three Bridges
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Three Bridges · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Whitehawk 3-2 Three Bridges
Original prediction
Three Bridges
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 33.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 22.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.3% | 44.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Three Bridges
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Three Bridges has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80