Whitehawkvs
St Albans City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Whitehawk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Whitehawk 3-3 St Albans City
Original prediction
Whitehawk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 28.2% | 36.9% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 26.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.4% | 36.8% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Whitehawk
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Whitehawk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40