Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ramsgate · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Whitehawk 1-4 Ramsgate
Original prediction
Ramsgate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.5% | 18.2% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 19.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.5% | 62.3% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–39%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Ramsgate
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Ramsgate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WhitehawkLLWWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RamsgateWLDLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WhitehawkRamsgate
33.3Attack77.8
26.7Defence51.9
16.7Form48.1
28.9Power57.6
0.97xG3.33