Whitehawkvs
Burgess Hill Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgess Hill Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Whitehawk 1-1 Burgess Hill Town
Original prediction
Burgess Hill Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.3% | 22.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 22.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.6% | 54.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Burgess Hill Town
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Burgess Hill Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20