Whitecaps IIvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tacoma Defiance
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
10.8%
Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60