GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tacoma Defiance · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Whitecaps II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tacoma Defiance

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

10.8%

Tacoma Defiance has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Whitecaps IILLWDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Whitecaps IITacoma Defiance
42.4Attack45.5
25.8Defence51.5
24.2Form47.0
33.8Power49.6
1.29xG1.99
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