GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FK Beograd are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adelaide City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 70.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

12.9%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FK BeogradLWLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Adelaide CityWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FK BeogradAdelaide City
55.6Attack65.1
57.1Defence74.6
52.4Form71.4
55.2Power70.6
1.03xG1.65
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