Whitby Townvs
Alfreton Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Whitby Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alfreton Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Whitby Town hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Northern, favouring a draw with 12.6% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.4%
Model confidence
12.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80