Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Weymouth are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Yate Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Yate Town hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Yate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yate Town
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Yate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00