Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uxbridge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Weymouth are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Uxbridge are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Uxbridge hold a 49.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 91.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Uxbridge holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Uxbridge
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Uxbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20