Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Weymouth are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40