Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weymouth · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Weymouth are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Dartford are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weymouth hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the National League - South, while Weymouth holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weymouth
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Weymouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20