Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterford · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Wexford are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Waterford are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Waterford hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 68.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the First Division, while Waterford holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Waterford
Probability
66.9%
Model confidence
66.9%
Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.25/2.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75