Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCD · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UCD are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and UCD hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the First Division, while UCD holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCD
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
13.4%
UCD has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60