First DivisionFirst Division
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 12:36
Wexford

Wexford

Home
L
00
Full time
Treaty United

Treaty United

Away
L
Ferrycarrig Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Wexford(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Wexford
43%
Draw
29%
Treaty United
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wexford
34
Treaty United
34
Defence
Wexford
27
Treaty United
27
Momentum
Wexford
0
Treaty United
0
Danger (xG)
Wexford
0.90
Treaty United
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Wexford)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Treaty United)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Wexford)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Treaty United)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
WexfordWexford
LDLDD
Treaty UnitedTreaty United
LWWDW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Wexford43%
Draw29%
Treaty United28%

Wexford leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Wexford head into this in First Division fixture at Ferrycarrig Park in mixed form (L), while Treaty United arrive in mixed form (L). Wexford have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Treaty United over 1 games.

The model rates Wexford's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Treaty United defence, and Treaty United's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Wexford backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Wexford have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Treaty United have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Wexford to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Wexford 4330%, Draw 2850%, Treaty United 2820%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Wexford 0Draws 10 Treaty United
Avg goals: 0.0
26 Jun 2026
Wexford
D00
Treaty United

Recent form

Wexford

Wexford

L
@ St Patrick's Athl.
17 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Kerry
10 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Finn Harps
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Treaty United
26 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Athlone Town
19 Jun 2026
22
Treaty United

Treaty United

L
vs UCD
17 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Finn Harps
10 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Kerry
3 Jul 2026
21
D
@ Wexford
26 Jun 2026
00
W
vs Finn Harps
15 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wexford vs Treaty United?

GoalVio's model predicts Wexford to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Treaty United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Wexford vs Treaty United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wexford vs Treaty United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more