GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wexford · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wexford are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Treaty United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wexford hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the First Division, while Wexford holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wexford

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

14.3%

Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WexfordLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Treaty UnitedWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WexfordTreaty United
39.5Attack32.1
51.9Defence51.9
42.0Form35.8
46.4Power42.1
1.24xG0.84
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