Wexfordvs
Finn Harps
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wexford · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wexford 1-3 Finn Harps
Original prediction
Wexford
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.5% | 63.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.2% | 21.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 6.35 | 14.3% | 15.2% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Wexford
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80