Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Wexford are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cork City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
14.1%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20