Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cork City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Wexford are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cork City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cork City hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 73.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the First Division, while Cork City holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cork City
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
14.1%
Cork City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60