Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wexford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wexford are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Avondale are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wexford hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the FAI Cup, while Wexford holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wexford
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Wexford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60