Wettswil-Bonstettenvs
Winterthur II
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · 10/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Winterthur II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wettswil-Bonstetten 3-0 Winterthur II
Original prediction
Winterthur II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.5% | 32.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.1% | 27.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.4% | 40.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Winterthur II
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Winterthur II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40