Wettswil-Bonstettenvs
Thalwil
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thalwil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wettswil-Bonstetten 1-1 Thalwil
Original prediction
Thalwil
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.2% | 24.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.2% | 23.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 43.5% | 52.1% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Thalwil
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Thalwil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20