GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Schweizer Cup · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Wettswil-Bonstetten are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Winterthur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Winterthur hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 77.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Schweizer Cup, while FC Winterthur holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Winterthur

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wettswil-BonstettenDLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
FC WinterthurWLLDW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wettswil-BonstettenFC Winterthur
0.0Attack80.0
33.3Defence73.3
0.0Form80.0
15.3Power77.1
1.35xG2.59
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