GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weszlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Weszlo 2-0 Ząbkovia Ząbki

Original prediction

Weszlo

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7053.0%41.7%-11.3 pts
Draw3.8523.4%25.6%2.2 pts
Away3.8223.6%32.8%9.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-11.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.2–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Weszlo

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Weszlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WeszloDWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ząbkovia ZąbkiWWDLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WeszloZąbkovia Ząbki
50.0Attack70.6
50.0Defence37.3
50.0Form43.1
50.0Power49.6
2.13xG2.01
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