Weston-super-Marevs
Wimborne Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston-super-Mare · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Wimborne Town
Original prediction
Weston-super-Mare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.5% | 46.7% | -20.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.4% | 25.8% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 6.93 | 13.1% | 27.5% | 14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Weston-super-Mare
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Weston-super-Mare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20