GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Weston-super-Mare are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chelmsford City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston-super-Mare hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - South, favouring a draw with 12.1% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.5%

Model confidence

12.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston-super-MareWLDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chelmsford CityDLWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Weston-super-MareChelmsford City
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
1.80xG1.04
View match centre →