Weston-super-Marevs
Chelmsford City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston-super-Mare · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Chelmsford City
Original prediction
Weston-super-Mare
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.2% | 47.9% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 26.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.3% | 25.5% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Weston-super-Mare
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Weston-super-Mare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40