Weston Bearsvs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/2/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Weston Bears are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00