GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

77.6%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineLWLLW

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsValentine
76.2Attack34.9
47.6Defence38.1
63.5Form39.7
62.4Power40.1
3.32xG0.96
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