Weston Bearsvs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/10/2025, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Weston Bears are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80