Weston Bearsvs
Valentine
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/7/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Weston Bears are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20