Weston Bearsvs
New Lambton
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/7/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
86.0%
Model confidence
86.0%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00