GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/14/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New Lambton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

86.0%

Model confidence

86.0%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
New LambtonWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Weston BearsNew Lambton
76.2Attack37.9
47.6Defence7.6
63.5Form18.2
62.4Power23.6
4.50xG1.00
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