Weston Bearsvs
Maitland
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/25/2023, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Weston Bears are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60