GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/15/2025, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maitland are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWDLWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandDLDLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsMaitland
76.2Attack60.3
47.6Defence50.8
63.5Form61.9
62.4Power60.0
2.49xG1.77
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