GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/28/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsDWWLW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lambton JaffasLLDWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsLambton Jaffas
76.2Attack57.1
47.6Defence47.6
63.5Form34.9
62.4Power46.2
2.78xG1.59
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