GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/16/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Lambton JaffasDWWWW

GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsLambton Jaffas
76.2Attack57.1
47.6Defence47.6
63.5Form34.9
62.4Power46.2
2.78xG1.59
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