Weston Bearsvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/23/2023, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Weston Bears are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weston Bears
Probability
89.2%
Model confidence
89.2%
Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 2 · GA 30 · avg 0.40/6.00