GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/25/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Hamilton OlympicLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Weston BearsHamilton Olympic
76.2Attack61.9
47.6Defence39.7
63.5Form33.3
62.4Power44.3
3.22xG1.72
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