GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/10/2024, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hamilton OlympicDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsHamilton Olympic
76.2Attack61.9
47.6Defence39.7
63.5Form33.3
62.4Power44.3
3.22xG1.72
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