GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/19/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.4 against 62.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsLWWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Weston BearsEdgeworth Eagles
76.2Attack63.5
47.6Defence54.0
63.5Form61.9
62.4Power62.1
2.32xG1.87
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