GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/14/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cooks Hill United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWLWDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cooks Hill UnitedDDWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Weston BearsCooks Hill United
76.2Attack61.9
47.6Defence46.0
63.5Form47.6
62.4Power51.1
2.81xG1.76
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