GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/30/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Charlestown City Blues are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 28.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

85.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsDLWWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsCharlestown City Blues
76.2Attack39.7
47.6Defence14.3
63.5Form22.2
62.4Power28.4
4.50xG1.06
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