GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/21/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWWLWD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicWLWDD

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Weston BearsBroadmeadow Magic
76.2Attack81.0
47.6Defence63.5
63.5Form73.0
62.4Power71.8
1.79xG2.45
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