GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/23/2024, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Broadmeadow Magic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 71.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsLLDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Broadmeadow MagicWWWWL

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Weston BearsBroadmeadow Magic
76.2Attack81.0
47.6Defence63.5
63.5Form73.0
62.4Power71.8
1.79xG2.45
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