GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/5/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

57.0%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Belmont SwanseaLLLWD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsBelmont Swansea
76.2Attack71.4
47.6Defence34.9
63.5Form55.6
62.4Power55.7
3.34xG2.06
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