GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Weston Bears are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

73.7%

Model confidence

73.7%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Weston BearsDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsLWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Weston BearsAdamstown Rosebuds
76.2Attack49.2
47.6Defence31.7
63.5Form33.3
62.4Power40.1
3.67xG1.35
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